In late 2023, a 4chan user named SBC7H7La posted a screenshot with a simple claim: Bitcoin would top on October 6, 2025, and then bottom exactly 364 days later. The prediction was based on a repeating number pattern, not on any widely accepted economic model. The pattern had happened twice in a row, and the poster was confident it would happen a third time.
Bitcoin did exactly that. On October 6, 2025, the cryptocurrency hit an all-time high of $126,198.07. The 4chan prediction was fulfilled.
The Pattern Behind the Prediction
The 4chan post dated December 12, 2023, pointed to a specific sequence of market moves. Previous lows to highs took 1,064 days, and previous highs to lows took 364 days. The pattern had repeated twice, and SBC7H7La argued it would repeat a third time.
The logic was pure numerology. There was no economic theory backing it up, no analysis of supply and demand, no consideration of central bank policy. Just a repeating number.
What Happened After the Top
From that October 2025 peak, Bitcoin fell sharply. By late June, the coin was trading well below its peak, according to crypto asset manager 21Shares, which noted at the time that the drop was still milder than the 80%-plus bear markets of past cycles.
The price action matched the pattern. The top came on October 6, 2025, and the fall followed the 364-day rhythm the 4chan post had described.
The Bottom Date and the Current Price
Add 364 days to October 6, 2025, and you land on October 5, 2026. That is today. Per the 4chan math, this is the bottom.
Bitcoin is trading around $86,100 this morning. That puts the coin nearly 30% below its all-time high, but about 50% above its lowest point of around $57,000, reached around mid-year.
“Sometimes if it looks like a duck and trades like a duck…”
The Jobs Report and the Interest Rate Angle
The current setup has a bullish angle. A jobs report showed the U.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September, against the 90,000 economists expected. That number suggests the Federal Reserve is unlikely to hike interest rates again.
Lower rates are exactly what risk asset investors like to see. Bitcoin, a risk asset, benefits from cheaper borrowing costs.
Benjamin Cowen’s View
Benjamin Cowen, a well-known fundamental analyst who says the accumulation phase began on July 1, still sees a window stretching for another leg down. He flagged a possible fourth-quarter floor near $44,000.
Cowen’s technical setup differs from the 4chan pattern. He focuses on accumulation phases and potential downside moves, while the 4chan post relies purely on repetition.
Choosing Your Own Adventure
None of this is as cool as trusting a random 4chan setup. The 4chan prediction worked once, but that does not prove it will work again. A repeating pattern is not an economic law.
The 4chan post was a joke that turned out to be right. That is the story, and it is amusing. But it is not a strategy.
The Numbers in Order
| Event | Date | Bitcoin Price |
|---|---|---|
| 4chan post | December 12, 2023 | Prediction: top on October 6, 2025 |
| All-time high | October 6, 2025 | $126,198.07 |
| Lowest point | Mid-year 2026 | ~$57,000 |
| Current price | October 5, 2026 | ~$86,100 |
The pattern held for the top. Whether it holds for the bottom remains to be seen.
Bitcoin is currently trading nearly 30% below its peak and about 50% above its July low. The pattern was not based on any economic theory, and it has no proven track record beyond this single instance. The 4chan math is fun, but it is untested.
The bottom has not arrived yet. The pattern has no record of predicting bottoms accurately, but the source does not establish that either way — it simply reports the numbers and the gap between them.
The takeaway is simple: a 4chan post made a bold prediction, and Bitcoin followed it. That is amusing. It is not a guide to investing.
Source material: “Why a 4chan Bitcoin Prophecy Says Today Is the End of Crypto Winter,” Decrypt.
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