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Schwab Strategist Argues Commodities Beat Stocks, but Only for Certain Investors

Schwab strategist Liz Ann Sonders says commodities beat stocks and bonds right now, but the mix depends on your own goals, risk, and time horizon.

By mitch·4 min read
A chart showing gold bars and rising lines against a dark background, symbolizing a new investment strategy.

Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, wants investors to stop asking for a single magic number. In a recent interview, she pushed back on what she called “cookie-cutter” portfolio advice, arguing that there is no one asset allocation that works for everyone right now.

Instead, she says the right mix depends on each person’s time horizon, risk tolerance, need for income, and overall goals. And when it comes to where to put that money, she favors commodities over stocks and bonds.

Sonders Rejects One-Size-Fits-All Answers

Sonders made her argument in response to a question about the classic 60/40 portfolio — the benchmark mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds that has defined retirement planning for decades. She told the interviewer that giving a simple answer to that question “actually drives me a little crazy.”

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“There’s no one asset allocation that makes sense right now,” she said.

Schwab oversees $13.4 trillion in client assets, and Sonders pointed to that scale as proof there is no single right answer for every client. Her remarks echo a broader shift away from the traditional stock-and-bond split, with some strategists proposing that commodities take a larger share of the portfolio.

Commodities Over Bonds, Not Against Equities

Schwab’s position on equities is neutral, not bearish, Sonders said. “We’re neutral on equities, which is not a bearish position,” she added. It simply reflects Schwab’s long-term strategic allocation, not a call to sell stocks.

But the firm is less favorable on fixed income. Sonders said Schwab is more favorable on commodities, a stance that lines up with a growing push among strategists to carve out a bigger slice for real assets.

One specific split floated by other strategists calls for a 60/20/20 mix, with a fifth of the portfolio in commodities. Sonders declined to endorse any fixed ratio. Instead, she said the right percentages depend on each investor’s goals, time horizon, and income needs.

The interviewer added that age and investor profile matter just as much.

Gold Funds Pull in Record Cash

The case for commodities got specific when Sonders pointed to the gold market. Gold-backed funds pulled in $18 billion in August alone, the second-biggest monthly inflow on record. Total holdings reached an all-time high.

The figure comes from the World Gold Council, an industry group that tracks global gold demand. A related gold ETF surge report cited the data.

That inflow shows real appetite for physical assets. Sonders did not tie the gold move directly to Schwab’s broader commodity thesis, but the timing is notable: investors are moving money into real assets.

Why the 60/40 Mix Is Losing Its Grip

The 60/40 portfolio worked for generations. Now investors are testing alternatives.

Asset Class Typical Role Schwab’s Current View
Equities Growth driver Neutral, not bearish
Bonds Income and protection Less favorable
Commodities Real asset exposure More favorable

The shift is not about abandoning stocks entirely. Sonders framed the neutral stance on equities as a long-term allocation decision, not a call to sell. But the balance has clearly shifted.

What Investors Should Actually Do

Sonders’ message is practical. She is not prescribing a 60/40 replacement for everyone. She is arguing that each investor should look at their own situation — how much time they have, how much risk they can handle, whether they need income now, and what they are trying to achieve.

Age matters too, the interviewer noted. A young investor saving for retirement has a different calculus than a retiree drawing down assets.

Here is what her approach breaks down to:

  • Assess your time horizon
  • Consider your risk tolerance
  • Evaluate your need for income
  • Align with your overall goals

That is a far cry from picking a number and calling it a day. It requires more thought, but it also makes sense given the changing environment.

The Case for Commodities

The gold inflows are the clearest evidence of investor behavior. When gold-backed funds pull in $18 billion in a single month, and total holdings hit an all-time high, it suggests real demand for something beyond stocks and bonds.

Whether Schwab’s tilt toward commodities proves prescient may depend on the current cycle for gold and other real assets. That cycle will keep playing out in the months ahead.

The broader trend is clear. The 60/40 portfolio is not dead, but it is losing its grip. Investors are looking for alternatives, and commodities are one of the places they are landing.

Schwab’s neutral stance on equities and favorable view on commodities is not a radical break. It is a recognition that the old rules no longer apply in the same way.

For investors, the takeaway is simple: stop assuming there is one right answer. There isn’t.

Source material: “Charles Schwab's Sonders Favors Commodities Over Equities, But Not for All,” Yahoo Finance.

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