The NFL kicks off with a slate of division rivalries, and the prediction markets are pricing every matchup. Kalshi and Polymarket offer shares on the Week 1 games, from the Rams-49ers opener in Melbourne to the Packers-Vikings showdown on Sunday.
Kalshi is one of the largest NFL prediction markets, according to the report. Its prices put the Los Angeles Rams at $0.65 per share to beat the San Francisco 49ers, who sit at $0.36 per share. Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua to record 80+ receiving yards is trading at $0.59 per share.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has produced strong results since its inception. It is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks on Kalshi. The model entered Week 1 on a 47-32 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.
Rams vs. 49ers in Melbourne
Friday’s matchup between the Rams and 49ers marks the first-ever NFL game in Australia. These two teams split the season series in 2025, with both teams securing a win on the road.
Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford was electric against San Francisco last season, throwing seven touchdowns and zero interceptions in two appearances. Stafford is coming off an MVP season, helping the Rams rank first in the NFL in points per game (30.5), total yards per game (394.6), and passing yards per game (268.1).
The 49ers added wide receiver Mike Evans this offseason. Evans is coming off an injury-riddled season in Tampa Bay, which snapped his streak of 11 straight seasons with 1,000+ receiving yards. Defensively, the Niners are excited about the return of defensive end Nick Bosa, who’s coming back from a torn ACL suffered in Week 3 of 2025. Bosa is T-9th-most sacks per game (0.76) in NFL history (min. 75 games).
SportsLine’s model has Los Angeles winning this matchup at home by a score of 28-21. Polymarket prices the Rams at $0.65 per share to win, while the 49ers are trading at $0.36 per share to win.
Bears vs. Panthers in Week 1
Two teams that won their respective divisions are set to square off when the Carolina Panthers host the Chicago Bears in Week 1. The Bears are coming off a season in which they finished 11-6 under their first-year head coach Ben Johnson.
Quarterback Caleb Williams played well in his first season under Johnson, finishing with 3,942 passing yards, 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Williams finished the year throwing two or more touchdowns in eight of his final nine contests, which includes two playoff games.
Meanwhile, the Panthers topped the NFC South despite posting an 8-9 record. Panthers QB Bryce Young is coming off his best season as a professional, throwing for 3,011 yards and 23 touchdowns. Wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan was extremely effective for the Panthers in his rookie campaign, hauling in 70 receptions for 1,014 yards and seven scores.
SportsLine’s model has Chicago winning this matchup on the road by a score of 27-23. Kalshi prices the Bears at $0.59 per share to win, while the Panthers are trading at $0.41 per share to win.
Vikings vs. Packers in Minneapolis
Two bitter rivals will collide when the Minnesota Vikings host the Green Bay Packers for an NFC North clash at 4:25 p.m. ET. Minnesota has had the upper hand over its rivals in recent years, winning three of the past four meetings with Green Bay.
The Vikings are coming off a disappointing 9-8 campaign, which included a 4-4 record. Minnesota’s offense averaged just 275 yards per game last season, which is why the Vikings signed former No. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray this offseason.
The Packers finished the 2025 campaign with a 9-7-1 record, losing to the Bears in the NFL Wild Card round. Head coach Matt LaFleur will look to lean on running back Josh Jacobs, who racked up 13 rushing touchdowns in 2025. Jacobs has now scored 12 or more rushing touchdowns in three of his past four seasons, but SportsLine’s model is projecting Minnesota’s defense to hold Jacobs to just 3.4 yards per carry on Sunday.
SportsLine’s model is calling for the Vikings to walk away with a 22-20 victory at home over Green Bay. Minnesota to win is trading at $0.54 per share, while the Packers are trading at $0.47 per share to beat the Vikings.
Prediction market prices and promo codes
Kalshi offers a $25 bonus when you trade $25 with the promo code CBSSPORTS. Polymarket gives a $50 bonus after a $10 deposit with the code CBSSPORTS.
The model’s record is based on Kalshi’s platform. It has produced over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated picks since its inception. The model entered Week 1 on a 47-32 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.
Key facts:
– Rams vs. 49ers: Rams $0.65 per share, 49ers $0.36 per share, model projects 28-21
– Bears vs. Panthers: Bears $0.59 per share, Panthers $0.41 per share, model projects 27-23
– Vikings vs. Packers: Vikings $0.54 per share, Packers $0.47 per share, model projects 22-20
– Kalshi promo code: CBSSPORTS, $25 bonus on $25 trade
– Polymarket promo code: CBSSPORTS, $50 bonus after $10 deposit
Prediction markets are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) — an independent agency of the U.S. federal government. Those who need responsible gaming assistance can contact the national helpline at 1-800-MY-RESET.
Event contracts trading involves a risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. Participation in prediction markets is subject to applicable eligibility requirements.
Source: cbssports.com
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